Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 2.418351 2.790438 3.206823 3.708434 4.297820 4.970149 5.797749
2025-03-30 1.795671 2.267727 2.851030 3.629607 4.648831 5.947564 7.743530
2025-04-06 1.512891 2.029087 2.710846 3.686854 5.064038 6.961436 9.814342
2025-04-13 1.275942 1.793567 2.513901 3.604147 5.238141 7.637121 11.502408
2025-04-20 1.164257 1.706377 2.496882 3.755000 5.747193 8.848599 14.178843
2025-04-27 1.036923 1.574544 2.390323 3.745967 5.997437 9.686998 16.401109
2025-05-04 0.962370 1.510588 2.374143 3.869105 6.467617 10.941599 19.549070
2025-05-11 0.879119 1.420914 2.303130 3.887234 6.755864 11.921404 22.379334
2025-05-18 0.807660 1.341091 2.236713 3.900491 7.031270 12.912493 25.412035
2025-05-25 0.725311 1.233017 2.108613 3.784601 7.047424 13.412443 27.544618
2025-06-01 0.679208 1.182621 2.074913 3.836154 7.387505 14.592674 31.340514
2025-06-08 0.641919 1.143636 2.056632 3.913072 7.786423 15.952673 35.813142
2025-06-15 0.591370 1.081382 2.000205 3.933166 8.128141 17.375994 41.091838
2025-06-22 0.533485 1.000112 1.900587 3.858166 8.272146 18.436972 45.906667
2025-06-29 0.497698 0.956762 1.868798 3.918975 8.726713 20.309477 53.371549
2025-07-06 0.451904 0.887735 1.775660 3.830542 8.817542 21.319615 58.785806
2025-07-13 0.433569 0.872529 1.792352 3.991884 9.541492 24.099765 70.244308
2025-07-20 0.402916 0.827710 1.739535 3.982222 9.834342 25.805792 78.992043
2025-07-27 0.386032 0.810477 1.745108 4.113953 10.522418 28.775902 92.924175
2025-08-03 0.362708 0.776320 1.707965 4.133350 10.910761 30.975325 105.038655
2025-08-10 0.341249 0.743971 1.671012 4.147534 11.288476 33.240934 118.286821
2025-08-17 0.313464 0.694102 1.586556 4.023549 11.241345 34.159788 126.744393
2025-08-24 0.298501 0.672796 1.569010 4.078700 11.745279 37.020764 144.257328